基于重要点双重评价的时间序列趋势提取

Trend Feature Extraction Method for Time Series Based on Double Evaluation Factors of Important Points

  • 摘要: 实际应用中,时间序列具有高维、海量的特点,且由于噪声干扰的存在,局部波动频繁,不利于整体趋势分析.为了滤除噪声干扰、压缩原始数据,从而准确提取时间序列中的趋势特征,本文在时间序列分段线性表示的基础上,提出了基于重要点双重评价因子的时序趋势提取算法.首先定义重要点作为时间序列分段点的备选集,并给出两种重要点评价因子的定量计算方式,用距离因子度量其相对差异程度,用趋势因子在全局上度量其对整体趋势的影响程度,综合评价每个重要点对整体趋势的重要程度来选取分段点.仿真实验表明,该方法克服了现有分段线性化方法评价函数单一和具有局部性的缺点,有效削弱噪声干扰,在分段数相同的情况下提取精度比现有方法高,在浮选泡沫灰度变化趋势提取中的应用也验证了其有效性.

     

    Abstract: Time series are characterized by "high dimension and mass" in practical applications. The frequent local fluctuations caused by noise interference also render it non-conducive to the analysis of overall trends. To filter out noise and compress the original data, the trend characteristics of time series must be accurately extracted. Based on the piecewise linear representation of a time series, we propose a trend extraction algorithm based on the double evaluation factor of important points in the time series. First, we define the important points as candidate sets of the time series, and present quantitative calculation methods for two of its evaluation factors. Then, we measure the relative degree of difference of the important points as a distance factor, and use a trend factor to measure its degree of influence on the overall trend. Lastly, we comprehensively evaluate the importance of each important point to the overall trend, and select the segment point. The simulation results show that the proposed method can overcome the shortcomings of existing piecewise linearization methods, which have a single evaluate function and contain locality, and can effectively weaken the noise interference. In the case of the same number of segments, the extraction accuracy is higher than that of existing methods. In its application to the trend extraction of bubble gradation, we also validate its effectiveness.

     

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