基于堆叠正近似核宽度学习系统的复合固体推进剂力学性能预测方法

Prediction Method for Mechanical Properties of Composite Solid Propellants Using Stacking Positive Approximate Kernel-based Broad Learning System

  • 摘要: 复合固体推进剂是航空航天关键材料,其力学性能受配方与工艺共同影响,但装药工艺参数与力学性能的非线性关联机理不清,传统深度学习模型在工业小样本场景下还存在成本高、效率低的问题。为此,本文提出一种基于堆叠正近似核宽度学习系统(stacking PAK-BLS)的预测方法。该方法以宽度学习系统为基础,创新性引入正随机特征技术将特征节点投影至近似核空间,既克服了传统BLS随机映射的不确定性并增强了非线性拟合能力,又大幅降低了计算成本。同时,结合堆叠集成策略有效应对了生产中的批次波动,提升了模型的泛化与鲁棒性。通过在行业公认的Pensim 2.0基准平台上开展对比实验,结果表明堆叠PAK-BLS模型的平均预测决定系数( R^2 )达到了0.9552,均方根误差( E_\textRMS )低至0.074,显著优于现有的多种主流模型。此外,基于400组复合固体推进剂实际生产数据开展工程实证验证,该模型对室温条件下最大拉伸强度与最大伸长率的预测平均相对误差分别仅为2.71%和2.92%,充分印证了该方法在实际工程应用中的高精度优势与实用价值。

     

    Abstract: Composite solid propellants play a critical role in the aerospace field, with their mechanical properties being jointly influenced by formulation and manufacturing processes. However, the underlying non-linear correlation mechanism between propellant casting parameters and mechanical properties remains ambiguous, and conventional deep learning models suffer from high computational costs and low efficiency in data-constrained industrial scenarios. To address these challenges, this study proposes a prediction method based on the stacking positive approximate kernel-based broad learning system (Stacking PAK-BLS). Rooted in the broad learning system framework, this method innovatively introduces a positive random feature technique to project feature nodes into an approximate kernel space, which not only overcomes the uncertainties associated with random mapping in traditional BLS and enhances non-linear fitting capabilities, but also significantly reduces computational costs. Concurrently, the integration of a Stacking ensemble strategy effectively mitigates batch fluctuations during production, thereby improving the generalization and robustness of the model. Comparative experiments conducted on the industry-recognized Pensim 2.0 benchmark platform demonstrate that the Stacking PAK-BLS model achieves an average coefficient of determination ( R^2 ) of 0.9552 and a root-mean-square error ( E_\textRMS ) as low as 0.074, significantly outperforming a variety of existing mainstream models. Furthermore, based on engineering empirical validation using 400 sets of real-world production data for composite solid propellants, the model yields average relative errors of merely 2.71% and 2.92% for predicting the maximum tensile strength and maximum elongation under room temperature conditions, respectively, thereby fully validating the high-precision advantages and practical value of the proposed method in real engineering applications.

     

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