大群体决策理论与方法研究综述:问题与挑战

Summary of Research on Theory and Methods in Large-group Decision-making: Problems and Challenges

  • 摘要: 随着我国经济和社会复杂决策问题的出现及决策环境的日益复杂和不确定,传统群决策理论与方法也产生了深刻的变化,发展为大群体决策理论与方法,并且成为当前国内外决策科学研究的热点领域,在实际决策中有着广阔的应用前景.为此,首先从多属性大群体决策方法、冲突性大群体决策方法和风险性大群体决策方法三个主要方面回顾了大群体决策领域的研究和发展现状;接着,介绍了大群体决策研究热点和前沿进展;然后,阐述了该研究领域面临的问题和挑战;最后,指出了大群体决策今后的发展趋势.

     

    Abstract: With the emergence of complex economic and social decision-making problems and the increasing complexity and uncertainty of the decision-making environment in China, traditional group decision-making theories and methods are undergoing profound change. Large-group decision-making theory and methods have developed and become hot fields in quantitative decision-making research with broad application prospects in practical decision-making scenarios. In this paper, we review current research and development in large-group decision-making from three main aspects: Multi-attribute, conflict-related, and risk-related large-group decision-making methods. We then introduce research hotspots and the latest progress in the field of large-group decision-making, and discuss its problems and challenges. Lastly, we note the future development trends in large-group decision-making.

     

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