基于多目标两阶段随机规划方法的电热联合系统调度

Electric and Heating Combined System Dispatch Based on Multi-objective and Two-stage Stochastic Programming Method

  • 摘要: 针对电热综合能源系统由于风电出力的随机性和波动性而难以有效调度的问题,提出了以成本最小化和弃风最小化为目标的一种多目标两阶段随机规划方法(multi-objective and two-stage stochastic programming,MOTSP),其中采用两阶段的随机规划模型对成本最小化部分进行建模分析,第一阶段以火电机组的启停成本为调度目标,第二阶段以机组运行成本为调度目标。最后采用多目标算法NSGA-Ⅱ中对解的筛选机制求解随机规划问题。该方法利用高斯分布描述负荷和风力发电预测误差来解决风电出力的不确定性,采用蒙特卡罗方法生成随机场景,并采用反向缩减技术对场景进行削减。仿真结果表明,所提的MOTSP算法比其他多种智能算法的解集更均匀广泛,收敛性更好,能够最大限度地减少弃风并使机组运营成本最小。

     

    Abstract: Wind power output is very unstable and stochasticity and variablility, making it difficult to control accurately in integrated electric and heating systems. We propose a multi-objective and two-stage stochastic programming method (MOTSP) to minimize cost and wind curtailment. First, the cost minimization part is modeled and analyzed by a two-stage stochastic programming model. The first stage considered the start-up and shut-down costs of the thermal power unit as its objective, while the second stage considered the unit's operating cost as its objective. Finally, the multi-objective algorithm is used to solve the problem. This method uses Gaussian distribution to describe the load and wind power forecast errors to solve the uncertainty of the wind power output, the Monte Carlo method to generate random scenes, and the back reduction method to reduce the scenes. The simulation results showed that the MOTSP algorithm proposed in this study is more uniform and generalizable compared to other intelligent algorithms and has better convergence, which can minimize wind abandonment and unit operating costs.

     

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