关于工农业总产值的两种预报方法
Two Prediction Methods of Gross Output Value for Industrial and Agricultural Production
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摘要: 本文采用MLPO（Multi-level Progressive Order Method多层递阶法）与TES（Triple Ex-ponential Smootbing Method三次指数平滑法）对某县工农业总产值作了近期、远期预测．为该县在本世纪末工农业总产值能否翻两番，提出了一定的科学论证，以便决策机关制定新的决策．Abstract: MLPO(Multi-Level Progressive Order Method) and TES(Tripe Exponential Smoothing Method)are used to predict the gross output value for short and long termindustrial and agricultural productions of a prefectural county.The prediction provides a scientificv evidence that,by the end of the century,the total value of industrial and agriculture productions in the year of 1980 will have been tripled,which helps the leading personnel in the decision making.
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