基于C-均值聚类的航班预测模型
FLIGHT DEMAND FORECASTING MODEL BASED ON C-MEAN CLUSTERING ALGORITHM
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摘要: 航班预测是航空公司收益管理的关键技术.本文提出了一种基于C-均值聚类的航班预测模型,并将该模型和广泛应用的增量法、回归法进行了对比.该模型基于聚类方法分析航班销售特征,依靠归类决定预测结果,屏蔽了日期和季节特性对预测过程的影响,降低了算法复杂度.该模型具有运算速度快、鲁棒性强、预测精度相对较高等优点,已应用于厦门航空公司的实际系统中.Abstract: Flight demand forecasting is the core technology for airline revenue management. This paper presents a new flight forecasting model that is based on C-mean clustering algorithm. The date and season attributes about the flight are discarded, and the complexity is reduced. Compared with the popularly used regression algorithm and pick-up algorithm, the new algorithm is faster, more robust and more accurate, and it has been applied to the real system of Xiamen Airlines.