基于误差预测的焦炉火道温度软测量模型

An Error-Forecasting-Based Soft-Sensing Model for Coke Oven Flue Temperature

  • 摘要: 针对焦炉火道温度在线检测的问题,在分析焦炉火道温度特性的基础上,建立了一种基于误差预测的高精度焦炉火道温度软测量模型.首先分别建立了1元、2元和12元线性回归模型,对蓄顶温度和火道温度进行线性拟合;然后比较分析了三种回归子模型的特点.使用融合时间差分法的Elman神经网络,对线性回归模型中精度最高的12元模型的预测误差进行拟合和多步预测.采用专家经验将线性回归组合模型和融合时间差分法的Elman神经网络模型进行集成,最终获得了具有较高预测精度的焦炉火道温度软测量值.实际运行结果验证了该软测量模型的有效性.

     

    Abstract: The features of coke oven flue temperature are analyzed,and a highly accurate soft-sensing model based on error forecasting is established to measure the coke oven flue temperature on-line.In order to linearly fit the relationship between the flue temperature and the regenerator-top temperature,three linear regression models with one variable,two variables and twelve variables are built respectively,and then the features of the three linear regression models are analyzed and compared.The errors produced by the twelve-variable linear regression model,the most accurate one,are fitted and predicted in a multistep way by the Elman neural network model which is based on the temporal difference method.The expert experience is used to integrate the outputs from the linear regression models and the temporal-difference-based Elman neural network model.At last,the more accurate soft-sensing value of the coke oven flue temperature is obtained with these models.The practical application results prove the validity of the presented soft-sensing model.

     

/

返回文章
返回