系统动力学仿真技术在区域规划决策中的实际应用

Simulation Technique in System Dynamics and Its Application to Regional Planning

  • 摘要: 系统动力学(System Dynamics)仿真技术是研究社会、经济、管理、生态等非工程系统的有力工具,在国外已被成功地用于工业企业管理(工业动力学)、城市规划(城市动力学)、世界发展趋势(世界动力学)等各种问题的研究.本文介绍用系统动力学仿真技术建立地区人口-经济发展的动态模型及其在我国某地区发展规划决策中的实际应用.

     

    Abstract: Simulation technique in system dynamics is a powerful tool for investigating non-engineering systems,such as society,economy,management and ecosystemsetc.It has been used extensively for the analysis of industry management(Industrial Dynamics),urban planning(Urban Dynamics)and world development(World Dynamics).This paper presents a system dynamics simulation model for the regional demographic-economic planning and introduces its application to the development planning of a representative region in China.

     

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