钢铁企业高炉煤气发生量的在线预测建模

Online Prediction Modelling of Blast Furnace Gas Output in Steel Industry

  • 摘要: 针对钢铁企业高炉煤气(BFG)发生量难于有效预测的问题,建立了基于数据滤波和最小二乘支持向量机的BFG发生量在线预测模型.提出改进经验模式分解阈值滤波(IEMDTF)方法对训练数据进行滤波处理;并设计了在线学习算法和贝叶斯优化法构建和优化预测模型,缩短了建模时间,同时提高了预测精度.现场实际数据预测结果表明所建模型在小样本和随机噪声数据环境下能保持很高的预测精度,与其它预测模型相比,适合于高炉煤气发生量的实时在线预测.

     

    Abstract: For the prediction of blast furnace gas(BFG) output in steel industry,which is difficult to be effectively predicted, an on-line prediction model is proposed based on data-filtering and least squares support vector machine(LSSVM). Herein,an improved empirical mode decomposition threshold filtering(IEMDTF) method is developed to filter the training data.And an online learning algorithm and Bayesian optimization approach are designed to establish and optimize the prediction model to reduce the modeling time and improve the prediction accuracy.The prediction results using practical BFG output data show that the proposed model keeps higher prediction precision under the condition of a few and random fluctuating data,and is more suitable for real time online prediction than other methods.

     

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