THE EXTENSION AND ANALYSIS OF THE MODEL WITH GUIDE VARIABLE

In this paper,the simple forecasting model with guide variable which is presented in reference1 hes been improved. The generalized model with guide variable is given. As the relaxation algorithm is used for identification,the forecasting error liave some decrease,In addition,we have compared this model with BOx-Jenkins seasonal model and Obtained some conclusions. Simulation example have illustrated the validity of the conclusions.